Life and Times of a Poker Addict

Okay, so I'm going to sound a little bit like a whiner on this post. But I would like to preface my comments by saying I would have accepted losing on this hand if he had given me the right reasoning for his call. It's the 2am $20 tourney on FTP and as seems to be the norm lately, I made it to the final table (in spite of myself). I have been playing some boneheaded poker the last fourty-eight hours but was able to pull it together early this morning.

With seven players left out of the original seventy-two, prospects are looking good as I have about 13,000 in chips and am one good hand away from moving up to the top. I get dealt AJ offsuit under the gun plus one (UTG +1) and we are at 250/500 blinds with 50 antes. UTG calls and I bring it in for a raise up to 2000. Action folds around to the small blind who completes and the big blind and UTG folds. Flop comes Qh 8h 4d with 5550 in the pot already. SB is first to act and leads out for 2000. I get the sense that this board kind of scared him and even though I'm not on a draw, I decide I can probably take the pot down anyways and move back over the top of him all-in for another 7000 chips. After pondering for a bit he decides to call and turns over pocket 10's. I got no help on the turn or river and I'm out of the tourney in seventh place.

I ask him if he thought I was on the draw and he tells me, "No, I just liked my odds," (record scratches and stops). We are all dumber for having heard this, I award you no points and may God have mercy on your soul. You just liked your odds? Your odds were awful. Actually, less than awful. More like somewhere in the neighborhood of the odds that I have of getting Cameron Diaz into my bed.

If you didn't put me on the draw that means you thought I probably had the Queen, which was a very good possibility considering my preflop raise and subsequent reraise all-in after the flop. So by your reasoning, putting another 7ooo chips into the pot at that point, with it sitting at almost 17000, makes your pot odds at around 29%. If I did have the queen then you had no outs other than to hit one of the other two tens in the deck. Which means that you had two cards out of the thirty-one remaining to make you the winner. Those odds you ask? 15.5/1 or approximately 6.5% to hit your cards. So you have to put in 27% of the pot in order to have a 6.5% chance of winning? Thank you, Texas_Reign, I'll be looking you up to play at your table again in the future. Donk.